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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,036 of 84,120 nationally

East Ferry Eviction Risk: Elevated , Newark

Tract 34013007200 · Essex County, NJ · pop 3,852 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 34013007200 runs through the East Ferry area of Newark. With 3,852 residents, it scores 7.7/10 for landlords. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,672 a month against an average household income of $62,349 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 77% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 35% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,410
Renter share76.7%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$62,349

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In East Ferry
Very Low
Within parent city
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#83 of 88 tracts In Newark
Very Low
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#96 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Moderate
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#339 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newark and the region

Centroid at 40.7240, -74.1538 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Ferry scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,672 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0

How East Ferry compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Ferry risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.27.2This tracttract 007200Newark: 9.09.0Newarkparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 107Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 1.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak (2014)
  • 15Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340130072002013: 14 filings (1.50/100 renter HHs)2014: 31 filings (3.33/100 renter HHs)2015: 14 filings (1.50/100 renter HHs)2016: 19 filings (1.96/100 renter HHs)2017: 14 filings (1.45/100 renter HHs)2018: 15 filings (1.55/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Ferry. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Ferry

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newark eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 100% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013007200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013007200?

Census tract 34013007200 in the East Ferry neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013007200?

Median gross rent is $1,672/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013007200?

10.0% of residents in tract 34013007200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,852.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013007200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 75th, minority 78th, housing 31th.
Q5

Is tract 34013007200 considered part of East Ferry?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34013007200 fall within East Ferry (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013007200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 107 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013007200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.88% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34013007200 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34013007200 compare to Newark overall?

Tract 34013007200 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of Newark at 9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34013007200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newark

Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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