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Neighborhood · Ranked #1,107 of 84,120 nationally

McGinley Square Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City

Tract 34017004300 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 2,884 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

In the McGinley Square neighborhood of Jersey City, census tract 34017004300 scores 8.1/10 for eviction risk. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 76% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 50% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,482 a month against an average household income of $60,338 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 17% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,088
Renter share69.5%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate38.2%
Median income$60,338

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 22 tracts In McGinley Square
High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 77 tracts In Jersey City
Very High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#18 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#131 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jersey City and the region

Centroid at 40.7165, -74.0709 · click any tract to drill in

Why McGinley Square scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
38.2% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$1,482 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0

How McGinley Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McGinley Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.58.5This tracttract 004300Jersey City: 8.38.3Jersey Cityparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 566Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 20.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.6%Peak (2014)
  • 141Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340170043002014: 169 filings (23.57/100 renter HHs)2016: 147 filings (21.00/100 renter HHs)2017: 109 filings (15.57/100 renter HHs)2018: 141 filings (20.14/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 100% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: Jersey City eviction risk sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017004300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017004300?

Census tract 34017004300 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017004300?

Median gross rent is $1,482/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017004300?

38.2% of residents in tract 34017004300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,884.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017004300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 76th, minority 82th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 34017004300 considered part of McGinley Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017004300 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017004300?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 566 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017004300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.07% of renter households, peaking at 23.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017004300 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017004300 compare to Jersey City overall?

Tract 34017004300 scores 8.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Jersey City at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017004300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City

Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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