McGinley Square Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City
Tract 34017004200 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 5,459 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 7.9/10, tract 34017004200 in McGinley Square in Jersey City ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,459 residents. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.
About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,319 monthly, set against $41,801 in average yearly household income, roughly 38% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Jersey City and the region
Centroid at 40.7178, -74.0796 · click any tract to drill in
Why McGinley Square scores 9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow McGinley Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 52%Grade C
- 48%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,094Total filings over 4 yrs
- 21.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.6%Peak (2014)
- 230Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.2%Housing insecurity
- 19.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.3%Food insecurity
- 30.5%SNAP enrollment
- 18.6%Transit barriers
- 20.4%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 35.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 28.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Part of this tract, about 48% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 34017004200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017004200?
What is the average rent in tract 34017004200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017004200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017004200?
Is tract 34017004200 considered part of McGinley Square?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017004200?
What share of households in tract 34017004200 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 34017004200 compare to Jersey City overall?
Was tract 34017004200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City
Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.