Within neighborhood
71
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,922 of 84,120 nationally
McGinley Square Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City
Tract 34017004200 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 5,459 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 9.4/10, tract 34017004200 in the McGinley Square area of Jersey City, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,833
Renter share75.0%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate31.7%
Median income$41,801
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
99
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jersey City and the region
Centroid at 40.7178, -74.0796 · click any tract to drill in
Why McGinley Square scores 9.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
31.7% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,319 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
How McGinley Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 52%Grade C
- 48%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,094Total filings over 4 yrs
- 21.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.6%Peak (2014)
- 230Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.2%Housing insecurity
- 19.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.3%Food insecurity
- 30.5%SNAP enrollment
- 18.6%Transit barriers
- 20.4%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 35.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,319, 34% below the Jersey City average.
Set annual rent against average income of $41,801 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Cost burden runs 56% here against 46.5% across Hudson County. SNAP participation runs 30.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Against the Hudson County average of 7.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 28.2% against 14.2% nationally.
Court records carry 1,094 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 25.6% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017004200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017004200?
Census tract 34017004200 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 9.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017004200?
Median gross rent is $1,319/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017004200?
31.7% of residents in tract 34017004200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,459.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017004200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 87th, minority 88th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 34017004200 considered part of McGinley Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017004200 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017004200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,094 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017004200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.64% of renter households, peaking at 25.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017004200 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017004200 compare to Jersey City overall?
Tract 34017004200 scores 9.4/10, higher than the parent city of Jersey City at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017004200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 48% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City
Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
The Heights
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34017006000
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34017006200
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
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