Within neighborhood
62
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,214 of 84,120 nationally
McGinley Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Jersey City
Tract 34017004102 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 4,476 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Eviction risk in McGinley Square in Jersey City centers on tract 34017004102, which scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,476 residents. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,532 a month against an average household income of $76,708 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,571
Renter share61.9%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate25.3%
Median income$76,708
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jersey City and the region
Centroid at 40.7197, -74.0710 · click any tract to drill in
Why McGinley Square scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
25.3% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,532 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
How McGinley Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 26%Grade C
- 74%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 860Total filings over 4 yrs
- 23.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 31.5%Peak (2014)
- 172Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.9%Housing insecurity
- 13.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.2%Food insecurity
- 18.7%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 16.4%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 860 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 23.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 31.5% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017004102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017004102?
Census tract 34017004102 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017004102?
Median gross rent is $1,532/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017004102?
25.3% of residents in tract 34017004102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,476.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017004102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 30th, minority 92th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 34017004102 considered part of McGinley Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017004102 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017004102?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 860 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017004102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.01% of renter households, peaking at 31.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017004102 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017004102 compare to Jersey City overall?
Tract 34017004102 scores 7.9/10, lower than the parent city of Jersey City at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017004102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 74% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City
Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34017005801
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34017005500
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
8.5
/ 10 · High
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