Within neighborhood
10
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally
McGinley Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Jersey City
Tract 34017004800 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 4,763 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 34017004800 sits in the McGinley Square area of Jersey City eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.6/10. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,943
Renter share57.1%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$95,997
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jersey City and the region
Centroid at 40.7207, -74.0954 · click any tract to drill in
Why McGinley Square scores 7.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$2,067 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
How McGinley Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 24%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 427Total filings over 4 yrs
- 11.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.2%Peak (2014)
- 113Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.2%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 14.1%Frequent mental distress
- 22.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square
The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10.
Court records carry 427 eviction filings across 4 observed years. SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2014 at 14.2% of renter households.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Hudson Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters.
It tracks the Hudson County average of 7.7 closely. Average gross rent is $2,067, close to the Jersey City average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017004800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017004800?
Census tract 34017004800 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017004800?
Median gross rent is $2,067/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017004800?
13.0% of residents in tract 34017004800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,763.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017004800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 73th, minority 85th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 34017004800 considered part of McGinley Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017004800 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017004800?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 427 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017004800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.96% of renter households, peaking at 14.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017004800 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017004800 compare to Jersey City overall?
Tract 34017004800 scores 7.6/10, lower than the parent city of Jersey City at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017004800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 24% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City
Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Hilltop
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34017005500
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34017005801
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
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