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Neighborhood · Ranked #1,107 of 84,120 nationally

McGinley Square Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City

Tract 34017004900 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 5,091 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 34017004900 covers McGinley Square in Jersey City in New Jersey. Home to 5,091 residents, it scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,069 monthly, set against $67,589 in average yearly household income, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 24% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,555
Renter share65.0%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate33.1%
Median income$67,589

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 22 tracts In McGinley Square
High
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 77 tracts In Jersey City
Very High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#17 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#131 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jersey City and the region

Centroid at 40.7137, -74.0849 · click any tract to drill in

Why McGinley Square scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
33.1% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$2,069 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0

How McGinley Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McGinley Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.58.5This tracttract 004900Jersey City: 8.38.3Jersey Cityparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 339Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 9.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.9%Peak (2018)
  • 92Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340170049002014: 71 filings (9.01/100 renter HHs)2016: 85 filings (9.10/100 renter HHs)2017: 91 filings (9.74/100 renter HHs)2018: 92 filings (9.85/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 30% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 19% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 339 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 9.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.9% of renter households in 2018.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: Jersey City eviction risk sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017004900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017004900?

Census tract 34017004900 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017004900?

Median gross rent is $2,069/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017004900?

33.1% of residents in tract 34017004900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,091.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017004900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 67th, minority 91th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 34017004900 considered part of McGinley Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017004900 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017004900?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 339 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017004900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.43% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017004900 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017004900 compare to Jersey City overall?

Tract 34017004900 scores 8.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Jersey City at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017004900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City

Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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