Within neighborhood
86
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,922 of 84,120 nationally
McGinley Square Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City
Tract 34017004900 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 5,091 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 9.4/10, tract 34017004900 in the McGinley Square area of Jersey City, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,091 residents. Severe burden reaches 40%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
9.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,555
Renter share65.0%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate33.1%
Median income$67,589
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jersey City and the region
Centroid at 40.7137, -74.0849 · click any tract to drill in
Why McGinley Square scores 9.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
33.1% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$2,069 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
How McGinley Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 78%Grade C
- 19%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 339Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.9%Peak (2018)
- 92Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 30% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.0%Housing insecurity
- 16.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.2%Food insecurity
- 24.1%SNAP enrollment
- 15.7%Transit barriers
- 16.2%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 33.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square
63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Hudson County average of 46.5%. Set annual rent against average income of $67,589 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
Against the Hudson County average of 7.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Food insecurity runs 32.2% against 17.8% nationally.
On the high side, economic stress reads 8.3/10. SNAP participation runs 24.1% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 339 filings here across 4 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2018 at 9.9% of renter households.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017004900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017004900?
Census tract 34017004900 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 9.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017004900?
Median gross rent is $2,069/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017004900?
33.1% of residents in tract 34017004900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,091.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017004900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 67th, minority 91th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 34017004900 considered part of McGinley Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017004900 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017004900?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 339 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017004900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.43% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017004900 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017004900 compare to Jersey City overall?
Tract 34017004900 scores 9.4/10, higher than the parent city of Jersey City at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017004900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City
Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
34017005500
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Hilltop
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34017005801
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
The Heights
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34017006000
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Related