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Neighborhood · Ranked #342 of 84,120 nationally

McGinley Square Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City

Tract 34017006700 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,481 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 7.8/10, tract 34017006700 in McGinley Square in Jersey City ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,481 residents. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $671 a month against an average household income of $27,663 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 87% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 47% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,687
Renter share86.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate34.0%
Median income$27,663

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 22 tracts In McGinley Square
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 77 tracts In Jersey City
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jersey City and the region

Centroid at 40.7178, -74.0611 · click any tract to drill in

Why McGinley Square scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
34.0% poverty · this tract
8.5
Supply constraint
$671 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0

How McGinley Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McGinley Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.19.1This tracttract 006700Jersey City: 8.38.3Jersey Cityparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 895Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 22.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 34.2%Peak (2014)
  • 161Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340170067002014: 325 filings (34.17/100 renter HHs)2016: 212 filings (20.19/100 renter HHs)2017: 197 filings (18.76/100 renter HHs)2018: 161 filings (15.33/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 94% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 895 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 22.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 34.2% of renter households in 2014.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017006700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017006700?

Census tract 34017006700 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017006700?

Median gross rent is $671/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017006700?

34.0% of residents in tract 34017006700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,481.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017006700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 99th, minority 92th, housing 59th.
Q5

Is tract 34017006700 considered part of McGinley Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017006700 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017006700?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 895 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017006700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.11% of renter households, peaking at 34.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017006700 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017006700 compare to Jersey City overall?

Tract 34017006700 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Jersey City at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017006700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 94% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City

Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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