McGinley Square Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. 87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.

Against the Hudson County average of 7.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.5/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Housing insecurity runs 22.8% against 14.2% nationally. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 895 filings here across 4 tracked years.

SNAP participation runs 23.1% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2014, when 34.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Hudson Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 22.1% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.