Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Harbor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City
Tract 34017018000 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 4,132 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Here is how census tract 34017018000, in the Lincoln Harbor neighborhood of Union City eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.3/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,132. On the national scale it ranks #14,691 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,613 a month against an average household income of $88,779 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,858
Renter share74.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$88,779
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
77
th percentile
High
National
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7772, -74.0157 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Harbor scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,613 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.0
How Lincoln Harbor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 5%Grade B
- 95%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 227Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2014)
- 51Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Harbor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.3%Food insecurity
- 8.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 15.0%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Harbor
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hudson County average of 7.0 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017018000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017018000?
Census tract 34017018000 in the Lincoln Harbor neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017018000?
Median gross rent is $1,613/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017018000?
11.2% of residents in tract 34017018000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,132.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017018000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 58th, minority 75th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 34017018000 considered part of Lincoln Harbor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017018000 fall within Lincoln Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017018000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 227 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017018000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.31% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017018000 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017018000 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017018000 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Union City at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017018000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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