Within neighborhood
44
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Harbor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City
Tract 34017018000 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 4,132 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
34017018000 is a census tract in the Lincoln Harbor area of Hudson County, NJ. It scores 7.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,132. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,858
Renter share74.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$88,779
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
National
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7772, -74.0157 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Harbor scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,613 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.0
How Lincoln Harbor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 5%Grade B
- 95%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 227Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2014)
- 51Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Harbor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.3%Food insecurity
- 8.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 15.0%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Harbor
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.3/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2/10.
14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 227 evictions over 4 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2014 at 4.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Hudson Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10.
Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017018000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017018000?
Census tract 34017018000 in the Lincoln Harbor neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017018000?
Median gross rent is $1,613/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017018000?
11.2% of residents in tract 34017018000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,132.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017018000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 58th, minority 75th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 34017018000 considered part of Lincoln Harbor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017018000 fall within Lincoln Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017018000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 227 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017018000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.31% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017018000 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017018000 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017018000 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017018000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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