Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Harbor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City
Tract 34017016600 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,498 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
34017016600 is a census tract in the Lincoln Harbor area of Union City, NJ. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,498. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,226
Renter share80.7%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$45,583
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7752, -74.0294 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Harbor scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,315 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1
How Lincoln Harbor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 11%Grade C
- 89%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 272Total filings over 4 yrs
- 5.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.0%Peak (2014)
- 62Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Harbor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.1%Housing insecurity
- 15.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.6%Food insecurity
- 23.0%SNAP enrollment
- 15.9%Transit barriers
- 28.6%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 35.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Harbor
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. 81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.6% against 11.3% nationally.
Set annual rent against average income of $45,583 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Against Hudson County at 46.5%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 272 evictions over 4 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,315, 14% below the Union City average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 6.0% of renter households.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017016600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017016600?
Census tract 34017016600 in the Lincoln Harbor neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017016600?
Median gross rent is $1,315/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017016600?
9.1% of residents in tract 34017016600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,498.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017016600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 58th, minority 92th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 34017016600 considered part of Lincoln Harbor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017016600 fall within Lincoln Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017016600?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 272 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017016600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.58% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017016600 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017016600 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017016600 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017016600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 89% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union City
Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
7.9
/ 10 · High
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