Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,157 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Harbor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 34017016600 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,498 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

In the Lincoln Harbor neighborhood of Union City, census tract 34017016600 scores 6.5/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 87th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,315 a month against an average household income of $45,583 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 81% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 37% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,226
Renter share80.7%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$45,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 10 tracts In Lincoln Harbor
Elevated
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 18 tracts In Union City
Low
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Elevated
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#290 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 40.7752, -74.0294 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Harbor scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,315 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1

How Lincoln Harbor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Harbor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.57.5This tracttract 016600Union City: 7.67.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 272Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 5.58%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.0%Peak (2014)
  • 62Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340170166002014: 73 filings (6.02/100 renter HHs)2016: 65 filings (5.32/100 renter HHs)2017: 72 filings (5.89/100 renter HHs)2018: 62 filings (5.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Harbor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Harbor

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hudson County average of 7.0 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017016600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017016600?

Census tract 34017016600 in the Lincoln Harbor neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017016600?

Median gross rent is $1,315/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017016600?

9.1% of residents in tract 34017016600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,498.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017016600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 58th, minority 92th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 34017016600 considered part of Lincoln Harbor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017016600 fall within Lincoln Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017016600?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 272 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017016600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.58% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017016600 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017016600 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 34017016600 scores 7.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Union City at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017016600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 89% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related