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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Chambersburg Eviction Risk: High , Trenton

Tract 34021000500 · Mercer County, NJ · pop 5,638 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 34021000500 covers part of the Chambersburg area of Trenton, NJ, and scores 8.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,638. Food insecurity runs 45.7% against 17.8% nationally.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 26% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,410
Renter share58.8%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate22.8%
Median income$58,729

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Chambersburg
Elevated
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 25 tracts In Trenton
Low
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#17 of 84 tracts In Mercer County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#297 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Trenton and the region

Centroid at 40.2110, -74.7416 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chambersburg scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Trenton
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
22.8% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Trenton
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Trenton
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Trenton
7.0

How Chambersburg compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chambersburg risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.4This tracttract 0005007.0Trentonparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 760Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 15.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.3%Peak (2013)
  • 129Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34021000500
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chambersburg. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chambersburg

Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 2.7 points above the Mercer County average of 5.7. Housing insecurity runs 36.7% against 14.2% nationally.

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.3/10. Set annual rent against average income of $58,729 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Average gross rent is $1,659, 28% above the Trenton average.

Cost burden runs 55% here against 46.5% across Mercer County. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

Court records carry 760 eviction filings across 6 observed years. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7/10.

Filings peaked in 2013 at 18.3% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Trenton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34021000500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34021000500?

Census tract 34021000500 in the Chambersburg neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34021000500?

Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34021000500?

22.8% of residents in tract 34021000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,638.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34021000500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 92th, minority 89th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 34021000500 considered part of Chambersburg?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34021000500 fall within Chambersburg (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34021000500?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 760 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34021000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.35% of renter households, peaking at 18.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34021000500 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34021000500 compare to Trenton overall?

Tract 34021000500 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Trenton at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Trenton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34021000500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Trenton

Top eight tracts in Trenton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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