Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Chambersburg Eviction Risk: High , Trenton

Tract 34021002100 · Mercer County, NJ · pop 4,440 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 34021002100 covers part of the Chambersburg area of Trenton, NJ, and scores 8.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,440 residents. It sits 2.7 points above the Mercer County average of 5.7.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 37% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,777
Renter share81.3%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$28,261

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Chambersburg
Moderate
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 25 tracts In Trenton
Moderate
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 84 tracts In Mercer County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#297 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Trenton and the region

Centroid at 40.2198, -74.7465 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chambersburg scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Trenton
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,112 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Trenton
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Trenton
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Trenton
7.0

How Chambersburg compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chambersburg risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.4This tracttract 0021007.0Trentonparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,855Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 24.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.0%Peak (2013)
  • 281Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34021002100
Filings dropped 19% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chambersburg. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chambersburg

Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $28,261, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.3/10.

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Adults with no health insurance runs 30.1% against 11.3% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Cost burden runs 54% here against 46.5% across Mercer County. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 1,855 filings here across 6 tracked years.

Average gross rent is $1,112, 14% below the Trenton average. The worst year on record was 2013, when 26.0% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34021002100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34021002100?

Census tract 34021002100 in the Chambersburg neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34021002100?

Median gross rent is $1,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34021002100?

28.6% of residents in tract 34021002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,440.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34021002100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 93th, minority 87th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 34021002100 considered part of Chambersburg?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34021002100 fall within Chambersburg (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34021002100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,855 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34021002100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.01% of renter households, peaking at 26.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34021002100 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34021002100 compare to Trenton overall?

Tract 34021002100 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Trenton at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Trenton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34021002100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Trenton

Top eight tracts in Trenton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related