Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Runyon Eviction Risk: Elevated , Sayreville
Tract 34023007103 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 5,721 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 34023007103 covers part of the Runyon area of Sayreville, NJ, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,721 residents. This is renter territory: 94% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 55%
Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units2,177
Renter share94.4%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$75,933
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sayreville and the region
Centroid at 40.4429, -74.3443 · click any tract to drill in
Why Runyon scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sayreville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,558 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sayreville
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sayreville
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sayreville
4.5
How Runyon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.2%Peak (2015)
- 3Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.4%Housing insecurity
- 11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.6%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 13.7%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Runyon
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 1.5 points above the Middlesex County average of 5.7.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 3 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2015 at 0.2% of renter households.
At $1,558 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Sayreville commands. In a typical year about 0.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #11,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. 42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023007103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007103?
Census tract 34023007103 in the Runyon neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023007103?
Median gross rent is $1,558/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007103?
9.0% of residents in tract 34023007103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,721.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 66th, minority 82th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 34023007103 considered part of Runyon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007103 fall within Runyon (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007103?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.17% of renter households, peaking at 0.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023007103 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023007103 compare to Sayreville overall?
Tract 34023007103 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Sayreville at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sayreville
Top eight tracts in Sayreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Sayre Woods
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Thomas J. Dohany Homes
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
La Mer
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Presidents Park
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Melrose
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Winding River
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Park Village
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Sayre Woods
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Related