Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally
La Mer Eviction Risk: Elevated , Sayreville
Tract 34023007306 ·
Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,511 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 6.1/10, tract 34023007306 in the La Mer area of Sayreville, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Average gross rent is $2,622, 53% above the Sayreville average.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%Stable renters 24%Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,266
Renter share51.5%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$105,491
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In La Mer
Moderate
Within parent city
70th percentile
#4 of 11 tracts In Sayreville
Elevated
Within county
66th percentile
#66 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
57th percentile
#940 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sayreville and the region
Centroid at 40.4526, -74.2783 · click any tract to drill in
Why La Mer scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sayreville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,622 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sayreville
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sayreville
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sayreville
4.5
How La Mer compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
45%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.6%Housing insecurity
8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
15.5%Food insecurity
8.8%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
8.8%No health insurance
15.3%Frequent mental distress
22.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in La Mer
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Against Middlesex County at 44.9%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The voucher gap is 20.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 79th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Middlesex County average of 5.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $105,491.
52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023007306
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007306?
Census tract 34023007306 in the La Mer neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023007306?
Median gross rent is $2,622/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007306?
6.1% of residents in tract 34023007306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,511.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007306?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 30th, minority 82th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 34023007306 considered part of La Mer?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007306 fall within La Mer (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 34023007306 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34023007306 compare to Sayreville overall?
Tract 34023007306 scores 6.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Sayreville at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sayreville
Top eight tracts in Sayreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.