Chestnut Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Toms River

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toms River eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ocean County average of 6.3 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 1,121 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 24.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 33.2% of renter households in 2013.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.