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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Hickory Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Toms River

Tract 34029723100 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 4,083 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Here is how census tract 34029723100, in the Hickory Manor neighborhood of Toms River eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.5/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,083. That is riskier than about 57% of US census tracts.

About 25% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,485 monthly, set against $111,971 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 30% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,563
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$111,971

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Hickory Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 20 tracts In Toms River
Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#91 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
Low
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#1,342 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toms River and the region

Centroid at 39.9567, -74.1894 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hickory Manor scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toms River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,485 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toms River
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toms River
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toms River
5.3

How Hickory Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hickory Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 723100Toms River: 6.86.8Toms Riverparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 271Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 8.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.3%Peak (2013)
  • 31Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340297231002013: 60 filings (12.27/100 renter HHs)2014: 47 filings (9.61/100 renter HHs)2015: 50 filings (10.22/100 renter HHs)2016: 37 filings (6.46/100 renter HHs)2017: 46 filings (8.03/100 renter HHs)2018: 31 filings (5.41/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hickory Manor

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toms River eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ocean County average of 6.3 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 271 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 8.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.3% of renter households in 2013.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029723100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029723100?

Census tract 34029723100 in the Hickory Manor neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34029723100?

Median gross rent is $1,485/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029723100?

4.2% of residents in tract 34029723100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,083.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029723100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 47th, minority 44th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 34029723100 considered part of Hickory Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029723100 fall within Hickory Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029723100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 271 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029723100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.67% of renter households, peaking at 12.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34029723100 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34029723100 compare to Toms River overall?

Tract 34029723100 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Toms River at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toms River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toms River

Top eight tracts in Toms River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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