Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Twin Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Toms River
Tract 34029723200 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 6,807 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 34029723200 covers part of the Twin Oaks area of Toms River, NJ, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 50%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units2,204
Renter share5.9%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$137,841
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toms River and the region
Centroid at 39.9684, -74.1656 · click any tract to drill in
Why Twin Oaks scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toms River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toms River
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toms River
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toms River
5.3
How Twin Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 63Total filings over 6 yrs
- 4.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2015)
- 8Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Twin Oaks
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
It sits 1.8 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 63 evictions over 6 years of observation.
Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 7.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 6% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029723200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029723200?
Census tract 34029723200 in the Twin Oaks neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029723200?
5.6% of residents in tract 34029723200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,807.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029723200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 71th, minority 35th, housing 0th.
Q4
Is tract 34029723200 considered part of Twin Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029723200 fall within Twin Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029723200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 63 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029723200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.80% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34029723200 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34029723200 compare to Toms River overall?
Tract 34029723200 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Toms River at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toms River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toms River
Top eight tracts in Toms River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Four Seasons
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Island Beach Heights
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Eagle Trace
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
34029722001
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Bay Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
The Landings
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Chestnut Run
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Maple Shade
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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