Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally
Melrose Eviction Risk: High , New York
Tract 36005005902 · Bronx County, NY · pop 2,938 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
36005005902 is a census tract in the Melrose area of New York, NY. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,938. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,286
Renter share70.1%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate36.9%
Median income$46,902
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New York and the region
Centroid at 40.8241, -73.9234 · click any tract to drill in
Why Melrose scores 9.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
36.9% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$1,269 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1
How Melrose compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 67%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,615Total filings over 8 yrs
- 23.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.7%Peak (2004)
- 172Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Melrose. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.0%Housing insecurity
- 16.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.5%Food insecurity
- 33.0%SNAP enrollment
- 16.1%Transit barriers
- 16.9%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Melrose
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10.
Food insecurity runs 37.5% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9.2/10. SNAP participation runs 33.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,269, 30% below the New York average. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $46,902, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The filing record is not thin: 1,615 evictions over 8 years of observation.
Against Bronx County at 56.0%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. The worst year on record was 2004, when 26.7% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36005005902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005005902?
Census tract 36005005902 in the Melrose neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36005005902?
Median gross rent is $1,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36005005902?
36.9% of residents in tract 36005005902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,938.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36005005902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 93th, minority 89th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 36005005902 considered part of Melrose?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005005902 fall within Melrose (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36005005902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,615 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 36005005902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.76% of renter households, peaking at 26.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 36005005902 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 36005005902 compare to New York overall?
Tract 36005005902 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 36005005902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New York
Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
Sugar Hill
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Sunset Park
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Borough Park
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Bushwick
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
East Elmhurst
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
East Flatbush
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Melrose
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
City Line
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
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