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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Melrose Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36005007100 · Bronx County, NY · pop 2,872 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

36005007100 is a census tract in the Melrose area of New York, NY. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,872 residents. The severe-burden share is 53%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 19% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,386
Renter share66.8%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate26.1%
Median income$34,853

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 19 tracts In Melrose
Low
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#783 of 2,324 tracts In New York
Elevated
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#141 of 361 tracts In Bronx County
Elevated
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.8182, -73.9128 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melrose scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
26.1% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,165 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1

How Melrose compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Melrose risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0071009.6New Yorkparent city9.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,104Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 43.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 64.7%Peak (2003)
  • 121Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 36005007100
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Melrose. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Melrose

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Cost burden runs 71% here against 56.0% across Bronx County.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,165, 36% below the New York average. Set annual rent against average income of $34,853 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Housing insecurity runs 29.3% against 14.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 1,104 eviction filings across 8 observed years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2003 at 64.7% of renter households.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36005007100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005007100?

Census tract 36005007100 in the Melrose neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36005007100?

Median gross rent is $1,165/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36005007100?

26.1% of residents in tract 36005007100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,872.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36005007100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 90th, minority 98th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 36005007100 considered part of Melrose?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005007100 fall within Melrose (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36005007100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,104 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 36005007100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 43.54% of renter households, peaking at 64.7% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 36005007100 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 36005007100 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36005007100 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 36005007100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 56% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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