Castle Hill Eviction Risk: High , New York

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $52,641 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Bronx County average of 56.0%.

SNAP participation runs 27.9% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,456 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of New York commands. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 468 filings here across 8 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2006, when 9.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.