Castle Hill Eviction Risk: High , New York

At $703 a month, rents run 61% under what the rest of New York commands. SNAP participation runs 49.0% against 15.2% nationally.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.8/10. The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Disability prevalence runs 44.1% against 31.5% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 4,280 evictions over 8 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2001, when 71.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bronx. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 52.2% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.