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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,663 of 84,120 nationally

Baychester Eviction Risk: Elevated , New York

Tract 36005031600 · Bronx County, NY · pop 1,907 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 36005031600 belongs to Baychester in New York, New York. It is home to 1,907 residents and scores 7.6/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 99% of US census tracts.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 48% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,662 monthly, set against $78,864 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 22% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units716
Renter share43.7%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$78,864

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9 tracts In Baychester
Very High
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#764 of 2,324 tracts In New York
Elevated
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#275 of 361 tracts In Bronx County
Low
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#1,078 of 5,394 tracts In New York
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.8620, -73.8487 · click any tract to drill in

Why Baychester scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,662 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1

How Baychester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Baychester risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.77.7This tracttract 031600New York: 9.79.7New Yorkparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 34Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 1.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.8%Peak (2006)
  • 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 360050316002000: 6 filings (2.61/100 renter HHs)2001: 4 filings (1.74/100 renter HHs)2002: 4 filings (1.74/100 renter HHs)2003: 4 filings (1.74/100 renter HHs)2004: 4 filings (1.74/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (1.09/100 renter HHs)2006: 7 filings (3.80/100 renter HHs)2016: 3 filings (1.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Baychester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Baychester

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New York eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bronx County average of 7.8 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36005031600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005031600?

Census tract 36005031600 in the Baychester neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36005031600?

Median gross rent is $1,662/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36005031600?

18.1% of residents in tract 36005031600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,907.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36005031600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 79th, minority 80th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 36005031600 considered part of Baychester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005031600 fall within Baychester (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36005031600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 34 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 36005031600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.95% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 36005031600 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 36005031600 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36005031600 scores 7.7/10, lower than the parent city of New York at 9.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 36005031600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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