Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,153 of 84,120 nationally
Baychester Eviction Risk: High , New York
Tract 36005031600 · Bronx County, NY · pop 1,907 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 36005031600 covers part of the Baychester area of New York, NY, and scores 8.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,907. Severe burden reaches 48%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
8.6
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units716
Renter share43.7%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$78,864
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
28
th percentile
Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across New York and the region
Centroid at 40.8620, -73.8487 · click any tract to drill in
Why Baychester scores 8.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,662 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1
How Baychester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 96%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 34Total filings over 8 yrs
- 1.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2006)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Baychester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.6%Food insecurity
- 16.3%SNAP enrollment
- 10.0%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Baychester
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 50% here against 56.0% across Bronx County. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Court records carry 34 eviction filings across 8 observed years. Against the Bronx County average of 9.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
Filings peaked in 2006 at 3.8% of renter households. At $1,662 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of New York commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bronx. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36005031600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005031600?
Census tract 36005031600 in the Baychester neighborhood scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36005031600?
Median gross rent is $1,662/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36005031600?
18.1% of residents in tract 36005031600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,907.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36005031600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 79th, minority 80th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 36005031600 considered part of Baychester?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005031600 fall within Baychester (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36005031600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 34 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 36005031600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.95% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 36005031600 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 36005031600 compare to New York overall?
Tract 36005031600 scores 8.6/10, lower than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 36005031600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New York
Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
Grasmere
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Kingsbridge Heights
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
East Tremont
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Norwood
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Manhattanville
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Bedford-Stuyvesant
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Hillside
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Laurelton
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
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