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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally

Baychester Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36005046208 · Bronx County, NY · pop 5,483 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 36005046208 covers part of the Baychester area of New York, NY, and scores 8.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,483. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 21% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,365
Renter share52.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$110,724

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 9 tracts In Baychester
Very Low
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#2,092 of 2,324 tracts In New York
Very Low
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#289 of 361 tracts In Bronx County
Low
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#2,473 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.8750, -73.8370 · click any tract to drill in

Why Baychester scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,303 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1

How Baychester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Baychester risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.2This tracttract 0462089.6New Yorkparent city9.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Baychester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Baychester

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. At $2,303 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of New York commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.4/10.

It sits 1.1 points below the Bronx County average of 9.3. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Housing insecurity runs 21.4% against 14.2% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 92nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 59% of renters. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $110,724. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36005046208

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005046208?

Census tract 36005046208 in the Baychester neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36005046208?

Median gross rent is $2,303/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36005046208?

8.5% of residents in tract 36005046208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,483.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36005046208?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 84th, minority 97th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 36005046208 considered part of Baychester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005046208 fall within Baychester (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36005046208 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36005046208 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36005046208 scores 8.2/10, lower than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36005046208 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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