Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Baychester Eviction Risk: Elevated , New York

Tract 36005046208 · Bronx County, NY · pop 5,483 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The Baychester area of New York is where census tract 36005046208 sits, home to 5,483 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 7.5/10. That is riskier than about 98% of US census tracts.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,303 a month against an average household income of $110,724 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 21% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units1,365

Renter share52.0%

SVI overall0.77

Poverty rate8.5%

Median income$110,724

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.8750, -73.8370 · click any tract to drill in

Why Baychester scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from New York

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.4

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

8.5% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$2,303 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from New York

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from New York

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from New York

7.1

How Baychester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

44%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Baychester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.4%Housing insecurity
11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
23.3%Food insecurity
19.0%SNAP enrollment
10.7%Transit barriers
7.1%No health insurance
13.8%Frequent mental distress
30.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Baychester

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New York eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bronx County average of 7.8 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36005046208

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005046208?

Census tract 36005046208 in the Baychester neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36005046208?

Median gross rent is $2,303/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36005046208?

8.5% of residents in tract 36005046208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,483.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36005046208?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 84th, minority 97th, housing 84th.

Is tract 36005046208 considered part of Baychester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005046208 fall within Baychester (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36005046208 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36005046208 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36005046208 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of New York at 9.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36005046208 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.