RiverBend Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

SNAP participation runs 34.4% against 15.2% nationally. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

On the high side, economic stress reads 8/10. Housing insecurity runs 23.1% against 14.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 25% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.