Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally

RiverBend Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029000800 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,975 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 8.2/10, tract 36029000800 in the RiverBend area of Buffalo, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,975. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

8.2

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 13% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units2,091

Renter share27.4%

SVI overall0.37

Poverty rate15.5%

Median income$75,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.8476, -78.8171 · click any tract to drill in

Why RiverBend scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

15.5% poverty · this tract

3.9

Supply constraint

$1,082 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How RiverBend compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

60%Socioeconomic
29%Household composition
29%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
82%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within RiverBend. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.2%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
13.6%Food insecurity
13.0%SNAP enrollment
7.8%Transit barriers
6.2%No health insurance
17.2%Frequent mental distress
25.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in RiverBend

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8/10. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Erie County average of 44.6%. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

It sits 1.4 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10. Against average income of $75,625, annual rent is just 17%.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,082, close to the Buffalo average. 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029000800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029000800?

Census tract 36029000800 in the RiverBend neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029000800?

Median gross rent is $1,082/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029000800?

15.5% of residents in tract 36029000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,975.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029000800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 29th, minority 29th, housing 23th.

Is tract 36029000800 considered part of RiverBend?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029000800 fall within RiverBend (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029000800 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029000800 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029000800 scores 8.2/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029000800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.