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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Seneca Babcock Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029001700 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,132 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 36029001700 covers part of the Seneca Babcock area of Buffalo, NY, and scores 9.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,132. 59% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 21% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units876
Renter share52.4%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate31.0%
Median income$38,837

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Seneca Babcock
Moderate
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Elevated
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 260 tracts In Erie County
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,493 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.8814, -78.8352 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seneca Babcock scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
31.0% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$878 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How Seneca Babcock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seneca Babcock risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.3This tracttract 0017007.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Seneca Babcock. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seneca Babcock

Against Erie County at 44.6%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 37.2% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8.

The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8/10. Food insecurity runs 33.3% against 17.8% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. On the high side, economic stress reads 7.8/10. At $878 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Buffalo commands.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029001700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029001700?

Census tract 36029001700 in the Seneca Babcock neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029001700?

Median gross rent is $878/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029001700?

31.0% of residents in tract 36029001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,132.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029001700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 90th, minority 57th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 36029001700 considered part of Seneca Babcock?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029001700 fall within Seneca Babcock (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029001700 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029001700 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029001700 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029001700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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