Neighborhood · Ranked #550 of 84,120 nationally

Cobblestone District Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029000500 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,061 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 36029000500 covers the Cobblestone District area of Buffalo in New York. Home to 2,061 residents, it scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

70% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $952 a month while the average household earns $32,500 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 16% Owners 47%

Tract context

Occupied units1,066

Renter share52.3%

SVI overall0.68

Poverty rate37.4%

Median income$32,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.8668, -78.8712 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cobblestone District scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

37.4% poverty · this tract

9.4

Supply constraint

$952 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How Cobblestone District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

79%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
42%Racial/ethnic minority
22%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
2%Grade C
13%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.3%Housing insecurity
16.7%Utility-shutoff threat
29.5%Food insecurity
33.9%SNAP enrollment
15.2%Transit barriers
11.2%No health insurance
20.9%Frequent mental distress
35.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cobblestone District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 13% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029000500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029000500?

Census tract 36029000500 in the Cobblestone District neighborhood scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029000500?

Median gross rent is $952/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029000500?

37.4% of residents in tract 36029000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,061.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029000500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 92th, minority 42th, housing 22th.

Is tract 36029000500 considered part of Cobblestone District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029000500 fall within Cobblestone District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029000500 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029000500 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029000500 scores 8.9/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029000500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 13% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.