East Side Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

SNAP participation runs 39.7% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points.

Food insecurity runs 37.8% against 17.8% nationally. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Erie County average of 44.6%.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,078, close to the Buffalo average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.