Kaisertown Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Erie County average of 44.6%. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.8/10.

The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.

At $764 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Buffalo commands. Food insecurity runs 30.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.