Neighborhood · Ranked #798 of 84,120 nationally

Parkside Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029005202 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,911 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

For landlords sizing up the Parkside neighborhood of Buffalo, census tract 36029005202 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 98% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 73% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 53% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,108 monthly, set against $51,420 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.

Risk score

8.7

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 13% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units871

Renter share46.5%

SVI overall0.58

Poverty rate39.1%

Median income$51,420

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9246, -78.8488 · click any tract to drill in

Why Parkside scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

39.1% poverty · this tract

9.8

Supply constraint

$1,108 rent vs county FMR

4.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How Parkside compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

66%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
92%Grade B
5%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Parkside. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.5%Housing insecurity
17.0%Utility-shutoff threat
29.9%Food insecurity
30.6%SNAP enrollment
17.4%Transit barriers
8.2%No health insurance
21.6%Frequent mental distress
30.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Parkside

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029005202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029005202?

Census tract 36029005202 in the Parkside neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029005202?

Median gross rent is $1,108/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029005202?

39.1% of residents in tract 36029005202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,911.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029005202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 30th, minority 79th, housing 45th.

Is tract 36029005202 considered part of Parkside?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029005202 fall within Parkside (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029005202 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029005202 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029005202 scores 8.7/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029005202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.