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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

University Heights Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029004601 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,852 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 9.3/10, tract 36029004601 in the University Heights area of Buffalo, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,852. It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 39% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,418
Renter share61.4%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate33.0%
Median income$67,949

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In University Heights
Very High
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Moderate
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Very High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,493 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9555, -78.8288 · click any tract to drill in

Why University Heights scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
33.0% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,203 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How University Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
University Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.3This tracttract 0046017.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within University Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in University Heights

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The dominant input is economic stress at 8.3/10. Against Erie County at 44.6%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10.

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Average gross rent is $1,203, 15% above the Buffalo average.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $67,949.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029004601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029004601?

Census tract 36029004601 in the University Heights neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029004601?

Median gross rent is $1,203/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029004601?

33.0% of residents in tract 36029004601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,852.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029004601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 3th, minority 59th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 36029004601 considered part of University Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029004601 fall within University Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029004601 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029004601 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029004601 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029004601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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