Buffalo Eviction Risk: High

It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10. Food insecurity runs 33.2% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Against Erie County at 44.6%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Housing insecurity runs 25.4% against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Average gross rent is $929, 11% below the Buffalo average.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.