Rosedale Eviction Risk: Elevated , Valley Stream

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Against Nassau County at 44.5%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. Average gross rent is $1,821, 14% below the Valley Stream average.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $138,004, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Nassau County average of 6.5 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.