Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Colony Eviction Risk: Lower , Baldwin
Tract 36059413803 · Nassau County, NY · pop 4,385 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.8/10 for census tract 36059413803 reflects conditions in Bay Colony in Baldwin, New York. On the national scale it ranks #27,181 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,501 a month while the average household earns $125,391 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 5% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,470
Renter share5.0%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$125,391
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baldwin and the region
Centroid at 40.6273, -73.6078 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Colony scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baldwin
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baldwin
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baldwin
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baldwin
4.0
How Bay Colony compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bay Colony. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.2%Food insecurity
- 12.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Colony
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baldwin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Nassau County average of 5.5 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 36059413803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36059413803?
Census tract 36059413803 in the Bay Colony neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36059413803?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36059413803?
5.6% of residents in tract 36059413803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,385.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36059413803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 79th, minority 80th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 36059413803 considered part of Bay Colony?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36059413803 fall within Bay Colony (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36059413803 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36059413803 compare to Baldwin overall?
Tract 36059413803 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Baldwin at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baldwin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baldwin
Top eight tracts in Baldwin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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