4 census tracts · pop 17,942 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10
· range 6–7.6
Bay Colony spans 4 census tracts of Baldwin, NY and houses 17,942 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.6/10, in the Elevated tier. The severe-burden share is 37%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Cost burden runs 43% against 32.4% citywide, putting Bay Colony 10.7% over its own city. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.5/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6 to 7.6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
Average gross rent is $2,189, 16% above the Baldwin average of $1,890. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Bay Colony vs BaldwinHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bay Colony
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.2%Housing insecurity
7.8%Utility shutoff threat
14.4%Food insecurity
11.0%SNAP enrollment
6.8%No health insurance
25.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Bay Colony
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bay Colony?
Bay Colony scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bay Colony compare to Baldwin overall?
Bay Colony scores 0.6 points higher than Baldwin overall (6/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,189 vs $1,890.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bay Colony?
Average gross rent in Bay Colony is $2,189/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bay Colony residents are renters?
7% of Bay Colony households are renter-occupied (vs 13% in Baldwin). The neighborhood has 17,942 residents.
Q5
Is Bay Colony a high social-vulnerability area?
Bay Colony sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Bay Colony have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Bay Colony is census tract 36059414502 (score 7.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 7.6, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Bay Colony for landlords?
Bay Colony carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Baldwin as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Bay Colony?
Bay Colony has 17,743 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (29.6%), Hispanic / Latino (22.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
