Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Colony Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baldwin
Tract 36059413804 · Nassau County, NY · pop 3,973 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
36059413804 is a census tract in the Bay Colony area of Baldwin, NY. It scores 6.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,973. The severe-burden share is 74%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,343
Renter share2.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$179,635
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baldwin and the region
Centroid at 40.6280, -73.5969 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Colony scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baldwin
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baldwin
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baldwin
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baldwin
4.0
How Bay Colony compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bay Colony. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 23.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Colony
Cost burden runs about three-quarters here against 44.5% across Nassau County. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.5/10. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Nassau County average of 6.5 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 36059413804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36059413804?
Census tract 36059413804 in the Bay Colony neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 36059413804?
10.0% of residents in tract 36059413804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,973.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 36059413804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 22th, minority 78th, housing 7th.
Q4
Is tract 36059413804 considered part of Bay Colony?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36059413804 fall within Bay Colony (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 36059413804 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36059413804 compare to Baldwin overall?
Tract 36059413804 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Baldwin at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baldwin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baldwin
Top eight tracts in Baldwin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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