Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Colony Eviction Risk: Lower , Baldwin
Tract 36059413804 · Nassau County, NY · pop 3,973 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
For landlords sizing up Bay Colony in Baldwin, census tract 36059413804 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 64% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 74% of renter households, a severe level, and 74% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $179,635 a year. Renters make up 3% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,343
Renter share2.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$179,635
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
10
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baldwin and the region
Centroid at 40.6280, -73.5969 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Colony scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baldwin
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baldwin
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baldwin
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baldwin
4.0
How Bay Colony compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bay Colony. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 23.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Colony
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baldwin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Nassau County average of 5.5 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 36059413804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36059413804?
Census tract 36059413804 in the Bay Colony neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 36059413804?
10.0% of residents in tract 36059413804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,973.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 36059413804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 22th, minority 78th, housing 7th.
Q4
Is tract 36059413804 considered part of Bay Colony?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36059413804 fall within Bay Colony (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 36059413804 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36059413804 compare to Baldwin overall?
Tract 36059413804 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Baldwin at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baldwin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baldwin
Top eight tracts in Baldwin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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