Bay Colony Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baldwin

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10. Average gross rent is $2,633, 27% above the Freeport average.

On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10.

Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Nassau County average of 6.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $132,931.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.