Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Bay Colony Eviction Risk: Lower , Baldwin

Tract 36059414502 · Nassau County, NY · pop 3,881 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Eviction risk in the Bay Colony area of Baldwin centers on tract 36059414502, which scores $1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,881 residents. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,296 a month against an average household income of $98,909 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 5% Owners 89%

Tract context

Occupied units1,778

Renter share10.3%

SVI overall0.67

Poverty rate5.0%

Median income$98,909

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Baldwin and the region

Centroid at 40.6365, -73.5792 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bay Colony scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Baldwin

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

5.0% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$2,296 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Baldwin

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Baldwin

6.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Baldwin

5.5

How Bay Colony compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

44%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bay Colony. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.4%Housing insecurity
8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
11.8%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
7.3%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
27.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bay Colony

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baldwin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Nassau County average of 5.5 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36059414502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36059414502?

Census tract 36059414502 in the Bay Colony neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36059414502?

Median gross rent is $2,296/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36059414502?

5.0% of residents in tract 36059414502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,881.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36059414502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 68th, minority 63th, housing 83th.

Is tract 36059414502 considered part of Bay Colony?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36059414502 fall within Bay Colony (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36059414502 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36059414502 compare to Baldwin overall?

Tract 36059414502 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Baldwin at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baldwin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baldwin

Top eight tracts in Baldwin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.