Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Colony Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baldwin
Tract 36059414502 · Nassau County, NY · pop 3,881 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 7.6/10, tract 36059414502 in the Bay Colony area of Freeport, NY reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,881 residents. Severe burden reaches 44%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,778
Renter share10.3%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$98,909
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baldwin and the region
Centroid at 40.6365, -73.5792 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Colony scores 7.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baldwin
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,296 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baldwin
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baldwin
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baldwin
5.5
How Bay Colony compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bay Colony. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 11.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Colony
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10. Against Nassau County at 44.5%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Nassau County average of 6.5. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10.
Average gross rent is $2,296, 11% above the Freeport average. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $98,909.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36059414502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36059414502?
Census tract 36059414502 in the Bay Colony neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36059414502?
Median gross rent is $2,296/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36059414502?
5.0% of residents in tract 36059414502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,881.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36059414502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 68th, minority 63th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 36059414502 considered part of Bay Colony?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36059414502 fall within Bay Colony (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36059414502 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36059414502 compare to Baldwin overall?
Tract 36059414502 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Baldwin at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baldwin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baldwin
Top eight tracts in Baldwin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
Stearns Park
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · NY
36059414400
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NY
Millburn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · NY
Stearns Park
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · NY
Stearns Park
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
Bay Colony
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
Baldwin Harbor
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
Stearns Park
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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