Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

Little Italy Eviction Risk: Elevated , Niagara Falls

Tract 36063020300 · Niagara County, NY · pop 2,081 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

In the Little Italy neighborhood of Niagara Falls, census tract 36063020300 scores 6.4/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 85% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $627 monthly, set against $72,404 in average yearly household income, roughly 10% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

6.7

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 13% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units1,011

Renter share25.0%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate16.5%

Median income$72,404

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Niagara Falls and the region

Centroid at 43.1027, -79.0170 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Italy scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Niagara Falls

5.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

16.5% poverty · this tract

4.1

Supply constraint

$627 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.4

How Little Italy compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

48%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
4%Grade B
5%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Italy. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.0%Housing insecurity
8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
15.7%Food insecurity
14.6%SNAP enrollment
8.6%Transit barriers
6.2%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
28.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Italy

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Niagara Falls eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Niagara County average of 5.8 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 2% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36063020300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36063020300?

Census tract 36063020300 in the Little Italy neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36063020300?

Median gross rent is $627/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36063020300?

16.5% of residents in tract 36063020300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,081.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36063020300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 68th, minority 34th, housing 23th.

Is tract 36063020300 considered part of Little Italy?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36063020300 fall within Little Italy (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36063020300 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36063020300 compare to Niagara Falls overall?

Tract 36063020300 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Niagara Falls at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niagara Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36063020300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niagara Falls

Top eight tracts in Niagara Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.