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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Little Italy Eviction Risk: Elevated , Niagara Falls

Tract 36063020300 · Niagara County, NY · pop 2,081 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

36063020300 is a census tract in the Little Italy area of Niagara Falls, NY. It scores 7.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,081 residents. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 13% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,011
Renter share25.0%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$72,404

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 11 tracts In Little Italy
Very Low
Within parent city
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 20 tracts In Niagara Falls
Low
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 65 tracts In Niagara County
Elevated
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#3,169 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Niagara Falls and the region

Centroid at 43.1027, -79.0170 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Italy scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Niagara Falls
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$627 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Niagara Falls
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Niagara Falls
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Niagara Falls
8.4

How Little Italy compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Italy risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.5This tracttract 0203007.1Niagara Fallsparent city6.4Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Italy. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Italy

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against Niagara County at 40.9%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $627 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Niagara Falls commands. Against the Niagara County average of 6.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 10% of average household income of $72,404, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36063020300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36063020300?

Census tract 36063020300 in the Little Italy neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36063020300?

Median gross rent is $627/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36063020300?

16.5% of residents in tract 36063020300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,081.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36063020300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 68th, minority 34th, housing 23th.
Q5

Is tract 36063020300 considered part of Little Italy?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36063020300 fall within Little Italy (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36063020300 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36063020300 compare to Niagara Falls overall?

Tract 36063020300 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Niagara Falls at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niagara Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36063020300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niagara Falls

Top eight tracts in Niagara Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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