Neighborhood · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Little Italy Eviction Risk: Elevated , Niagara Falls

Tract 36063021400 · Niagara County, NY · pop 2,104 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

In the Little Italy area of Niagara Falls, census tract 36063021400 scores 5.9/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 71% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $890 monthly, set against $52,269 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 18% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units1,050

Renter share26.7%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate13.5%

Median income$52,269

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Niagara Falls and the region

Centroid at 43.0916, -79.0278 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Italy scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Niagara Falls

5.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

13.5% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$890 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.4

How Little Italy compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
52%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
91%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Italy. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.4%Housing insecurity
9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
18.6%Food insecurity
17.2%SNAP enrollment
9.8%Transit barriers
7.5%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
29.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Italy

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Niagara Falls eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Niagara County average of 5.8 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 36063021400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36063021400?

Census tract 36063021400 in the Little Italy neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36063021400?

Median gross rent is $890/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36063021400?

13.5% of residents in tract 36063021400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,104.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36063021400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 91th, minority 45th, housing 52th.

Is tract 36063021400 considered part of Little Italy?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36063021400 fall within Little Italy (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36063021400 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36063021400 compare to Niagara Falls overall?

Tract 36063021400 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Niagara Falls at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niagara Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36063021400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niagara Falls

Top eight tracts in Niagara Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.