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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Little Italy Eviction Risk: Elevated , Niagara Falls

Tract 36063021400 · Niagara County, NY · pop 2,104 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

36063021400 is a census tract in the Little Italy area of Niagara Falls, NY. It scores 7.7/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 18% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,050
Renter share26.7%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$52,269

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 11 tracts In Little Italy
Very Low
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 20 tracts In Niagara Falls
Low
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 65 tracts In Niagara County
High
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#3,108 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Niagara Falls and the region

Centroid at 43.0916, -79.0278 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Italy scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Niagara Falls
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$890 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Niagara Falls
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Niagara Falls
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Niagara Falls
8.4

How Little Italy compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Italy risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 0214007.1Niagara Fallsparent city6.4Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Italy. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Italy

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Niagara County average of 40.9%. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Niagara County average of 6.4. At $890 a month, rents run 8% over what the rest of Niagara Falls commands.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Niagara Falls. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $52,269. 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36063021400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36063021400?

Census tract 36063021400 in the Little Italy neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36063021400?

Median gross rent is $890/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36063021400?

13.5% of residents in tract 36063021400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,104.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36063021400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 91th, minority 45th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 36063021400 considered part of Little Italy?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36063021400 fall within Little Italy (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36063021400 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36063021400 compare to Niagara Falls overall?

Tract 36063021400 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Niagara Falls at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niagara Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36063021400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niagara Falls

Top eight tracts in Niagara Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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