Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Malvern Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Asheville
Tract 37021001200 · Buncombe County, NC · pop 4,818 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
How risky is the Malvern Hills neighborhood of Asheville for landlords? Census tract 37021001200 scores 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 53% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,289 a month against an average household income of $65,668 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,837
Renter share32.7%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$65,668
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Asheville and the region
Centroid at 35.5707, -82.6100 · click any tract to drill in
Why Malvern Hills scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Asheville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,289 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Asheville
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Asheville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Asheville
4.0
How Malvern Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 7%Grade B
- 32%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,870Total filings over 11 yrs
- 23.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 32.8%Peak (2006)
- 77Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 53% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.1%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Malvern Hills
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Asheville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Buncombe County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37021001200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37021001200?
Census tract 37021001200 in the Malvern Hills neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37021001200?
Median gross rent is $1,289/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37021001200?
4.6% of residents in tract 37021001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,818.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37021001200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 4th, minority 10th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 37021001200 considered part of Malvern Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37021001200 fall within Malvern Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37021001200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,870 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37021001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.74% of renter households, peaking at 32.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37021001200 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37021001200 compare to Asheville overall?
Tract 37021001200 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Asheville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Asheville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37021001200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Asheville
Top eight tracts in Asheville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
River Arts District
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
South Slope
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Montford Hills
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Bingham Heights
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Deaver View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Murphy Junction
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37021002506
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Linwood Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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