Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Swannanoa Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Asheville

Tract 37021003003 · Buncombe County, NC · pop 5,558 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 37021003003 covers part of the Swannanoa Hills area of Asheville, NC, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,558. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 13% Owners 77%

Tract context

Occupied units2,428

Renter share22.6%

SVI overall0.37

Poverty rate20.4%

Median income$65,179

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Asheville and the region

Centroid at 35.5997, -82.4646 · click any tract to drill in

Why Swannanoa Hills scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Asheville

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

20.4% poverty · this tract

5.1

Supply constraint

$1,247 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Asheville

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Asheville

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Asheville

4.0

How Swannanoa Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

47%Socioeconomic
9%Household composition
41%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.8%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
11.3%Food insecurity
9.6%SNAP enrollment
6.5%Transit barriers
8.1%No health insurance
14.6%Frequent mental distress
32.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Swannanoa Hills

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 2.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Buncombe County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.

At $1,247 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Asheville commands. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 44% of renters. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $65,179.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 37021003003

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37021003003?

Census tract 37021003003 in the Swannanoa Hills neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37021003003?

Median gross rent is $1,247/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37021003003?

20.4% of residents in tract 37021003003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,558.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37021003003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 9th, minority 41th, housing 56th.

Is tract 37021003003 considered part of Swannanoa Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37021003003 fall within Swannanoa Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37021003003 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37021003003 compare to Asheville overall?

Tract 37021003003 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Asheville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Asheville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Asheville

Top eight tracts in Asheville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.