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Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051002200 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 2,611

Fayetteville in Cumberland County anchors census tract 37051002200, which lands at 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 45th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,451 a month while the average household earns $60,931 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 83% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 46% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,414
Renter share82.5%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$60,931

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
Low
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
Low
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#969 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,643 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.0963, -78.9648 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,451 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 002200Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,005Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 37.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 53.8%Peak (2002)
  • 149Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510022002002: 299 filings (53.78/100 renter HHs)2003: 264 filings (47.48/100 renter HHs)2005: 268 filings (57.26/100 renter HHs)2006: 241 filings (51.50/100 renter HHs)2007: 262 filings (55.98/100 renter HHs)2008: 233 filings (49.79/100 renter HHs)2009: 198 filings (42.31/100 renter HHs)2010: 288 filings (57.37/100 renter HHs)2011: 241 filings (58.78/100 renter HHs)2012: 113 filings (27.56/100 renter HHs)2013: 92 filings (22.44/100 renter HHs)2014: 88 filings (21.46/100 renter HHs)2015: 67 filings (16.34/100 renter HHs)2016: 89 filings (8.99/100 renter HHs)2017: 113 filings (11.41/100 renter HHs)2018: 149 filings (15.05/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,005 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 37.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 53.8% of renter households in 2002.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051002200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051002200?

Census tract 37051002200 in Fayetteville scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051002200?

Median gross rent is $1,451/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051002200?

11.2% of residents in tract 37051002200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,611.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051002200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 15th, minority 74th, housing 85th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051002200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,005 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051002200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 37.34% of renter households, peaking at 53.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051002200 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051002200 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051002200 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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