Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051003317 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 3,266

Fayetteville anchors census tract 37051003317, which lands at 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 53% of US census tracts.

About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,320 a month while the average household earns $60,385 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 14% Owners 65%

Tract context

Occupied units1,280

Renter share34.9%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate15.1%

Median income$60,385

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.0747, -78.9911 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fayetteville

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

15.1% poverty · this tract

3.8

Supply constraint

$1,320 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fayetteville

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fayetteville

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fayetteville

3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

51%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
46%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.8%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
16.5%Food insecurity
13.1%SNAP enrollment
9.2%Transit barriers
10.2%No health insurance
16.9%Frequent mental distress
33.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051003317

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051003317?

Census tract 37051003317 in Fayetteville scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37051003317?

Median gross rent is $1,320/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051003317?

15.1% of residents in tract 37051003317 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,266.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051003317?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 81th, minority 77th, housing 46th.

What share of households in tract 37051003317 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37051003317 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051003317 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.