Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Bashford Bluffs Eviction Risk: Lower , Garner
Tract 37183052903 · Wake County, NC · pop 3,632 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Bashford Bluffs area of Garner anchors census tract 37183052903, which lands at 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
66% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 66% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,800 a month against an average household income of $130,104 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,291
Renter share4.3%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$130,104
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Garner and the region
Centroid at 35.6574, -78.6383 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bashford Bluffs scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Garner
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,800 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garner
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garner
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garner
5.6
How Bashford Bluffs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2015)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bashford Bluffs
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Garner eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Wake County average of 5.3 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 6 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 3.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.6% of renter households in 2015.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 37183052903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37183052903?
Census tract 37183052903 in the Bashford Bluffs neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37183052903?
Median gross rent is $1,800/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37183052903?
2.2% of residents in tract 37183052903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,632.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37183052903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 32th, minority 49th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 37183052903 considered part of Bashford Bluffs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37183052903 fall within Bashford Bluffs (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37183052903?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 37183052903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.32% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37183052903 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37183052903 compare to Garner overall?
Tract 37183052903 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Garner at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garner eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Garner
Top eight tracts in Garner ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Avery Park
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Oak Park
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Camelot
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Herbert Lee Adams
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Breezeway East
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Rangewood
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Fox Haven
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
The Village at Aversboro
2.1
/ 10 · Low
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