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Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Jefferson/Carl Ben Eviction Risk: Lower , Fargo

Tract 38017000802 · Cass County, ND · pop 5,144 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Jefferson/Carl Ben in Fargo is where census tract 38017000802 sits, home to 5,144 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 2.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 1% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $646 a month against an average household income of $68,720 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 24% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,138
Renter share35.8%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$68,720

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Jefferson/Carl Ben
Moderate
Within parent city
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 30 tracts In Fargo
Moderate
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#17 of 44 tracts In Cass County
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#73 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fargo and the region

Centroid at 46.8667, -96.8079 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jefferson/Carl Ben scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fargo
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$646 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fargo
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fargo
1.5

How Jefferson/Carl Ben compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Jefferson/Carl Ben risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 000802Fargo: 1.81.8Fargoparent cityCounty: 3.03.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jefferson/Carl Ben

What moves this score most is economic stress at 2.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fargo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cass County average of 3.2 and below the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38017000802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017000802?

Census tract 38017000802 in the Jefferson/Carl Ben neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38017000802?

Median gross rent is $646/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38017000802?

11.1% of residents in tract 38017000802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,144.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38017000802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 22th, minority 32th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 38017000802 considered part of Jefferson/Carl Ben?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017000802 fall within Jefferson/Carl Ben (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 38017000802 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 38017000802 compare to Fargo overall?

Tract 38017000802 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fargo

Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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