Eviction Risk in Rose Creek , Fargo
Tract 38017010307 · Cass County, ND · pop 2,084 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 38017010307 sits in the Rose Creek neighborhood of Fargo, North Dakota. It has a population of 2,084 and an eviction-risk score of 2.7/10 (Lower tier). 35% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 35% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $971/month against a median household income of $163,542 — roughly 7% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 2,069 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 3%
- White (non-Hispanic) 89.4%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 2.7%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 2.5%
- Other / Multiracial 2.4%
How the 2.7/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 2.0 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 1.5 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 4.9 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 3.0 | Fargo (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 1.0 | Fargo (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 1.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 1.5 | Fargo (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 1.5 | Fargo (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 1.0 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 4.6 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.5%Housing insecurity
- 3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.0%Food insecurity
- 2.7%SNAP enrollment
- 3.3%Transit barriers
- 3.6%No health insurance
- 10.0%Frequent mental distress
- 20.0%Any disability
About tract 38017010307
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017010307?
Census tract 38017010307 in the Rose Creek neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 38017010307?
Median gross rent is $971/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 38017010307?
3.0% of residents in tract 38017010307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,084.
How socially vulnerable is tract 38017010307?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 24th, minority 17th, housing 2th.
Is tract 38017010307 considered part of Rose Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017010307 fall within Rose Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
What share of households in tract 38017010307 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.