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Census Tract · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Ashtabula Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39007000602 · Ashtabula County, OH · pop 3,649 · 81% of tract blocks fall in Ashtabula

The Moderate-tier score of 5.8/10 for census tract 39007000602 reflects conditions in Ashtabula in Ashtabula County, Ohio. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $828 a month while the average household earns $56,195 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 10% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,785
Renter share22.3%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$56,195

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Ashtabula
Very Low
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 28 tracts In Ashtabula County
Moderate
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#1,081 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
National
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#35,899 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashtabula and the region

Centroid at 41.8902, -80.8345 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ashtabula scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ashtabula
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$828 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashtabula
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashtabula
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashtabula
8.4

How Ashtabula compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ashtabula risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 000602Ashtabula: 3.03.0Ashtabulaparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 285Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 6.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.2%Peak (2013)
  • 25Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390070006022002: 20 filings (7.14/100 renter HHs)2003: 11 filings (3.93/100 renter HHs)2004: 8 filings (2.86/100 renter HHs)2005: 23 filings (7.21/100 renter HHs)2006: 21 filings (6.58/100 renter HHs)2007: 14 filings (4.39/100 renter HHs)2009: 26 filings (8.15/100 renter HHs)2010: 15 filings (4.53/100 renter HHs)2011: 17 filings (6.88/100 renter HHs)2012: 22 filings (8.91/100 renter HHs)2013: 30 filings (12.15/100 renter HHs)2014: 15 filings (6.07/100 renter HHs)2015: 20 filings (8.10/100 renter HHs)2016: 18 filings (3.98/100 renter HHs)2017: 25 filings (5.53/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ashtabula

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ashtabula, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Ashtabula County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 285 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 6.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.2% of renter households in 2013.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39007000602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007000602?

Census tract 39007000602 in Ashtabula scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39007000602?

Median gross rent is $828/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39007000602?

13.7% of residents in tract 39007000602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,649.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39007000602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 81th, minority 14th, housing 30th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39007000602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 285 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39007000602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.43% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39007000602 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39007000602 compare to Ashtabula overall?

Tract 39007000602 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Ashtabula at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashtabula; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ashtabula

Top eight tracts in Ashtabula ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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