Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39017014100 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,231
The Elevated-tier score of 6.3/10 for census tract 39017014100 reflects conditions in Middletown in Butler County, Ohio. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,227 a month while the average household earns $63,025 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units875
Renter share41.5%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$63,025
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.4810, -84.3715 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,227 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 498Total filings over 13 yrs
- 11.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.0%Peak (2017)
- 48Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.0%Housing insecurity
- 12.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.8%Food insecurity
- 20.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.6%Transit barriers
- 11.8%No health insurance
- 21.5%Frequent mental distress
- 35.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Butler County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39017014100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017014100?
Census tract 39017014100 in Middletown scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017014100?
Median gross rent is $1,227/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017014100?
21.8% of residents in tract 39017014100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,231.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017014100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 75th, minority 45th, housing 73th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017014100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 498 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017014100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.89% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39017014100 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39017014100 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017014100 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Rosedale / The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013600
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013500
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013400
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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