Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39017013600 · Butler County, OH · pop 4,899
Eviction risk in Middletown eviction risk centers on tract 39017013600, which scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,899 residents. On the national scale it ranks #15,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $838 a month against an average household income of $41,066 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units2,048
Renter share63.3%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate23.6%
Median income$41,066
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.4964, -84.3525 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
23.6% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$838 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,174Total filings over 13 yrs
- 10.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.1%Peak (2013)
- 163Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.8%Housing insecurity
- 18.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.4%Food insecurity
- 34.6%SNAP enrollment
- 17.1%Transit barriers
- 16.9%No health insurance
- 23.7%Frequent mental distress
- 41.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Butler County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,174 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 10.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.1% of renter households in 2013.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39017013600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017013600?
Census tract 39017013600 in Middletown scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017013600?
Median gross rent is $838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017013600?
23.6% of residents in tract 39017013600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,899.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017013600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 26th, minority 46th, housing 71th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017013600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,174 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017013600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.74% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39017013600 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39017013600 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017013600 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Rosedale / The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013500
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013400
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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