Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39017013600 · Butler County, OH · pop 4,899
39017013600 is a census tract in Middletown, OH. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,899. Against Butler County at 39.6%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units2,048
Renter share63.3%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate23.6%
Median income$41,066
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.4964, -84.3525 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
23.6% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$838 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,174Total filings over 13 yrs
- 10.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.1%Peak (2013)
- 163Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.8%Housing insecurity
- 18.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.4%Food insecurity
- 34.6%SNAP enrollment
- 17.1%Transit barriers
- 16.9%No health insurance
- 23.7%Frequent mental distress
- 41.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.8/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.3 points above the Butler County average of 4.3.
Housing insecurity runs 23.8% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Average gross rent is $838, 17% below the Middletown average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,174 filings here across 13 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 13.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 10.7% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39017013600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017013600?
Census tract 39017013600 in Middletown scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017013600?
Median gross rent is $838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017013600?
23.6% of residents in tract 39017013600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,899.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017013600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 26th, minority 46th, housing 71th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017013600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,174 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017013600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.74% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39017013600 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39017013600 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017013600 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013400
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013500
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014100
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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