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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,224 of 84,120 nationally

Rosedale / The Oaks Eviction Risk: Elevated , Middletown

Tract 39017012300 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,053 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 39017012300 sits in the Rosedale / The Oaks neighborhood of Middletown, Ohio. It has a population of 2,053 and an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). 73% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 40% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $785/month against a median household income of $41,792 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 10% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,029
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate30.4%
Median income$41,792

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 4 tracts In Rosedale / The Oaks
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank — 88th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 18 tracts In Middletown
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank — 91th percentileBottomTop
#9 of 86 tracts In Butler County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank — 96th percentileBottomTop
#129 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middletown and the region

Centroid at 39.5346, -84.3609 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rosedale / The Oaks scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
30.4% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$785 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1

How Rosedale / The Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rosedale / The Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.56.5This tracttract 012300Middletown: 5.55.5Middletownparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 288Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 6.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak (2018)
  • 35Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 — 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390170123002006: 22 filings (6.40/100 renter HHs)2007: 17 filings (4.94/100 renter HHs)2008: 23 filings (6.69/100 renter HHs)2009: 34 filings (9.88/100 renter HHs)2010: 9 filings (2.65/100 renter HHs)2011: 19 filings (5.74/100 renter HHs)2012: 20 filings (6.04/100 renter HHs)2013: 19 filings (5.74/100 renter HHs)2014: 15 filings (4.53/100 renter HHs)2015: 21 filings (6.34/100 renter HHs)2016: 24 filings (5.81/100 renter HHs)2017: 30 filings (7.26/100 renter HHs)2018: 35 filings (8.47/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 59% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rosedale / The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 39017012300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017012300?

Census tract 39017012300 in the Rosedale / The Oaks neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39017012300?

Median gross rent is $785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39017012300?

30.4% of residents in tract 39017012300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,053.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39017012300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 72th, minority 26th, housing 19th.

Q5

Is tract 39017012300 considered part of Rosedale / The Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017012300 fall within Rosedale / The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017012300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 288 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017012300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.19% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 39017012300 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 39017012300 compare to Middletown overall?

Tract 39017012300 scores 6.5/10 — higher than the parent city of Middletown at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middletown

Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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