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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Rosedale / The Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middletown

Tract 39017012300 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,053 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Tract 39017012300, home to 2,053 residents in Rosedale / The Oaks in Middletown, scores 6.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 73% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $785 a month while the average household earns $41,792 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 10% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,029
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate30.4%
Median income$41,792

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Rosedale / The Oaks
Very High
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 18 tracts In Middletown
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 86 tracts In Butler County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#533 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middletown and the region

Centroid at 39.5346, -84.3609 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rosedale / The Oaks scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
30.4% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$785 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1

How Rosedale / The Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rosedale / The Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 012300Middletown: 2.82.8Middletownparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 288Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 6.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak (2018)
  • 35Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390170123002006: 22 filings (6.40/100 renter HHs)2007: 17 filings (4.94/100 renter HHs)2008: 23 filings (6.69/100 renter HHs)2009: 34 filings (9.88/100 renter HHs)2010: 9 filings (2.65/100 renter HHs)2011: 19 filings (5.74/100 renter HHs)2012: 20 filings (6.04/100 renter HHs)2013: 19 filings (5.74/100 renter HHs)2014: 15 filings (4.53/100 renter HHs)2015: 21 filings (6.34/100 renter HHs)2016: 24 filings (5.81/100 renter HHs)2017: 30 filings (7.26/100 renter HHs)2018: 35 filings (8.47/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 59% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rosedale / The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rosedale / The Oaks

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Butler County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39017012300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017012300?

Census tract 39017012300 in the Rosedale / The Oaks neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39017012300?

Median gross rent is $785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39017012300?

30.4% of residents in tract 39017012300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,053.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39017012300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 72th, minority 26th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 39017012300 considered part of Rosedale / The Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017012300 fall within Rosedale / The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017012300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 288 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017012300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.19% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39017012300 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39017012300 compare to Middletown overall?

Tract 39017012300 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middletown

Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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